Singapore, like many rapidly urbanizing cities, faces an intensifying Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect, where built-up areas experience significantly higher temperatures than their rural surroundings. The reasons are well-documented: concrete-dominated landscapes, limited vegetation, and anthropogenic heat from industrial activity, transport, and air conditioning. But beyond the science, the consequences are real—rising energy consumption, deteriorating public health, and worsening climate change impacts.
I began analyzing UHI trends in Singapore using geospatial data from Landsat satellites (source :2023), with a focus on Land Surface Temperature (LST) and the Urban Fabric Thermal Vulnerability Index (UFTVI). While this research is ongoing, early findings already highlight a temperature gap of up to 7°C between urbanized and less developed areas in Singapore. But how do these metrics interact, and what can be done to mitigate the risks?
LST refers to the temperature of the ground's surface, as measured from satellite sensors. It is influenced by various factors such as vegetation cover, land use, and atmospheric conditions.
Why is LST crucial?
The UHI effect is a well-documented urban phenomenon where cities trap and retain more heat than surrounding rural areas. The reasons?
The UFTVI is a composite index that assesses how vulnerable different areas are to heat stress, factoring in:
Heatwaves disproportionately impact the elderly, a demographic that is rapidly growing in Singapore. Studies show that extreme heat events lead to higher mortality and morbidity rates among older populations (Åström et al., 2011; Bunker et al., 2016). Heat-related illnesses and stress are particularly concerning in high-density urban environments like Singapore.
Increased temperatures drive up air conditioning use, leading to:
This creates a vicious cycle, where cooling systems contribute to the very problem they are trying to solve.
Higher temperatures exacerbate air pollution, increasing ground-level ozone and smog formation. This further impacts respiratory health, particularly for vulnerable populations.
While the problem is complex, Singapore has several opportunities to mitigate UHI and its effects.
Over the next phase of my research, I plan to:
✅ Monitor UHI trends from 2020-2024, analyzing how urban heat patterns have evolved.
✅ Overlay heat maps with socio-economic data, particularly focusing on elderly population distribution.
✅ Assess district-level heat vulnerability and propose targeted resilience measures.
With Singapore’s aging population projected to rise significantly in the coming decades, heat stress will become an increasingly urgent issue. This research will help identify high-risk districts and guide data-driven policies to protect vulnerable communities.
As urbanization accelerates and climate change intensifies, the Urban Heat Island effect will only worsen without proactive intervention. The science is clear, and the solutions are within reach—but the key lies in consistent policy action, community engagement, and forward-thinking urban design.
As I continue this research, stay tuned for insights on integrating climate resilience strategies with social equity—ensuring that vulnerable populations, including the elderly, are not left behind in the fight against urban heat.
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